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Can the Piotroski F-Score also improve your investment strategy?

 

dearfellowinvestor_s

 

You can use the Piotroski F-Score to improve most investment strategies, not just a low price to book strategy as Joseph Piotroski successfully proved in his 2000 research paper "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers".

 

How to improve your investment strategy

In this article I am going to show you, through back tests we have done, what other investment strategies you can improve with the use of the Piotroski F-Score.

 

Piotroski F-Score helps growth strategies

For example, a good friend of mine, in his master's thesis, found that companies with a good Piotroski F-Score can substantially increase the returns of a growth investment strategy. You can find out more by clicking on the following link: Use the Piotroski F-Score to improve Growth Investment Returns.

 

More on the Piotroski F-Score

I am not going to write about it here but if you would like more information about the Piotroski F-Score, including how it is calculated take a look at this article: This academic can help you make better investment decisions – Piotroski F-Score.

 

The back test

In the research paper Quantitative Value Investing in Europe: What Works for Achieving Alpha we tested 168 different investment strategies, on companies in the Eurozone, to find what strategies would have given you the best investment return over the 12-year period from 13 June 1999 to 13 June 2011.

In spite of the test period being quite short it was most certainly not a good time to be invested in the stock market, as it included the internet stock market bubble (1999), two recessions (2001, 2008-2009) and two bear markets (2001-2003, 2007-2009).

 

One remarkable finding

In spite of the Piotroski F-Score being a quality indicator (it can’t tell you if a company is undervalued) if you used it as a single factor to select investment ideas you would have done surprisingly well as the Piotroski F-Score was the fifth best single factor strategy we tested.

The following table shows you what your returns you could have earned if you used only the Piotroski F-Score to select investment ideas. 

PFS_Other_2

Click image to enlarge

Source: Quantitative Value Investing in Europe: What Works for Achieving Alpha

Q1 was companies with the best (high) Piotroski F-Score and Q5 companies with the worst (lowest) F-Score.

 

Market returned only 30.5%

For all company sizes the companies with the best F-Score substantially beat the market which over the 12-year period of the study returned 30.54 % or 2.25% pa, dividends included. 

 

Piotroski F-Score with other ratios improved returns over 200%

We also tested the Piotroski F-Score with 13 other ratios and indicators to see if it could not have increased your returns.

What we found was remarkable.

As, with the exception of two other ratios (ROIC and Net Debt on Market Value), combining the F-Score with another ratio would have given you a lot higher returns.

The following table shows you how much the return of the stand-alone strategies were improved by selecting only companies with a good Piotroski F-Score.

PFS_Other_7
Click image to enlarge
 

Source: Quantitative Value Investing in Europe: What Works for Achieving Alpha

 

Best stand-alone strategy = Price to book +400.3%

As you can see in the Stand-alone strategy column price to book was the best stand-alone strategy you could have used over the period.

This may have been because the test period contained two market crashes (internet bubble and the 2008 financial crisis) after which a low price to book strategy usually does very well.

However, be careful of a low price to book investment strategy because it has long periods of market underperformance.

You can read more about it here: Be careful of this time tested value ratio

 

Best strategy with Piotroski F-Score = Free cash flow yield (FCF Yield) +680.4%

The strategy combined with the best Piotroski F-Score companies that gave the best returns over the 12 year period was FCF Yield which returned just over 680%.

Not bad at all I am sure you will agree.

 

Most improved strategy = Free Cash Flow Yield +363%

The Piotroski F-Score was able to add 363% to the return of a strategy of buying only the companies with the highest FCF Yield.

The second most improved strategy was Price Index 12 months (EBIT/Enterprise Value) which the Piotroski F-Score improved 318.1% from 159.6% to 477.7%.

As you can see all the returns were a lot better as on average the returns of all 13 ratios or strategies increased 210.6% over 12 years, that’s a huge improvement.

 

Adding quality can substantially increase your returns

Thus adding a quality indicator, which the Piotroski F-Score really is, to your investment strategy or screen can increase your returns substantially.

The Piotroski F-Score, if you look at the way that the nine ratios it consists of are calculated, helps you add companies with good fundamental momentum to your portfolio.

And that's where its real value lies.

 

How to add the Piotroski F-Score to your screens

In the screener it's really easy to add the F-Score to the strategies you use to search for investment ideas.

 Add it with the slider

You can add the Piotroski F-Score by using one of the four sliders as the following screenshot shows.

PFS_Other_4 

 

Select Piotroski F-Score from the Primary Factor drop down list under the Quality heading.

To select only the companies with the best (highest) F-Score move the slider to that you select 0% to 20% of the Piotroski F-Score values.

Or use filter

Or you can select the best Piotroski F-Score companies by using the filter function in one of the columns.

To do this first type the number 8 in the field next to the small funnel.

PFS_Other_5 

 

Then click on the small funnel image and select GreaterThan.

PFS_Other_6 

 

It’s as easy as that to add the Piotroski F-Score to the way you search for investment ideas.

You can get more information on the screener here:  Quant-Investing screener

 

Summary and conclusion

As you clearly saw you can do a lot worse than adding companies with a high (good) Piotroski F-Score to your existing investment strategy as it increased the returns of 13 investment strategies by an average of over 210% over a 12 year period.

 

Your Piotroski F-Score analyst

Tim_sign3 

 

Another interesting Piotroski articles

Here are another interesting article on the Piotroski F-Score:

This academic can help you make better investment decisions – Piotroski F-Score

Can you use the Piotroski F-Score to improve Growth Investment Returns?

Use the Piotroski F-Score to seriously improve your returns

Ever thought of using a fundamental stop-loss?